Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.334161 0.445274 0.567570 0.709959 0.869216 1.040149 1.235877
2025-04-13 0.197151 0.344118 0.525647 0.755268 1.029008 1.337689 1.705631
2025-04-20 0.132960 0.292417 0.507624 0.795140 1.151099 1.563480 2.065286
2025-04-27 0.092271 0.258405 0.502229 0.843240 1.278006 1.791826 2.426322
2025-05-04 0.071907 0.247499 0.522548 0.919795 1.436220 2.054376 2.824736
2025-05-11 0.050055 0.225329 0.521796 0.965031 1.552856 2.265463 3.161509
2025-05-18 0.028454 0.192133 0.498375 0.975186 1.621767 2.416428 3.425163
2025-05-25 0.008000 0.139586 0.433910 0.920897 1.602146 2.455015 3.551199
2025-06-01 0.000221 0.095410 0.371895 0.862411 1.571423 2.475679 3.652145
2025-06-08 NaN 0.069521 0.336042 0.838332 1.583533 2.547528 3.813162
2025-06-15 NaN 0.058336 0.327833 0.856012 1.652155 2.690728 4.061500
2025-06-22 NaN 0.043757 0.306765 0.850364 1.686590 2.788969 4.253475
2025-06-29 NaN 0.028130 0.277056 0.830285 1.703533 2.869654 4.431085
2025-07-06 NaN 0.025242 0.284159 0.874614 1.814700 3.075383 4.767736
2025-07-13 NaN 0.022797 0.291585 0.919000 1.925534 3.280285 5.102921
2025-07-20 NaN 0.021565 0.302926 0.970478 2.046966 3.499479 5.456546
2025-07-27 NaN 0.024574 0.331031 1.052902 2.214334 3.779752 5.887568
2025-08-03 NaN 0.022978 0.340697 1.101407 2.331629 3.993839 6.235263
2025-08-10 NaN 0.017128 0.330431 1.112301 2.392806 4.133304 6.488601
2025-08-17 NaN 0.006699 0.285498 1.054062 2.348572 4.130955 6.561191
2025-08-24 NaN 0.001054 0.241405 0.991197 2.293777 4.112019 6.610714
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000003 0.217377 0.965273 2.293386 4.164768 6.750168
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.214676 0.984310 2.363056 4.312949 7.012366